Title | Participation. Purpose Target. |
Associated Targets | To maintain our position on labour market participation as the top performing country in the UK and close the gap with the top 5 OECD economies by 2017. |
Brief Description | This purpose target consists of two parts: The first part is about maintaining Scotland's position on labour market participation as the top performing country in the UK. The second part of the target is for Scotland to narrow the gap between employment rates in Scotland and the top 5 OECD countries (which are currently Iceland, Switzerland, Norway, Denmark, and Sweden). |
Strategic Objective(s) to Which Indicator Relates | This indicator informs progress in relation to all five Strategic Objectives: Wealthier and Fairer;
Healthier;
Safer and Stronger;
Smarter; and
Greener. |
More Detailed Definitions | |
Definitions of Keywords | Participation is defined as covering those in employment. For comparisons within the UK, this will be measured using the headline employment rate, which measures the proportion of the population aged16 to 64(for both men and women) in employment. Employment is defined as people who are employees, self employed, on government training programmes and unpaid family workers. The Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development ( OECD) is an international organisation helping governments tackle the economic, social and governance challenges of a globalised economy. Currently there are over 30 countries who are members of the OECD (as shown in Chart 3) and this may increase in future years. For comparisons with the OECD the employment rate is defined as the proportion of those aged 15-64 in employment. |
Evidence Source | Progress against the first part of the target (To maintain our position on labour market participation as the top performing country in the UK) will be measured using the Labour Force Survey (LFS). LFS data are collected by the Office for National Statistics ( ONS) and are available from 1992. Data for comparing Scotland's performance against the OECD countries are taken from the OECD web site based on the European Labour Force Survey data used in the Employment Outlook publication. The Scottish and UK data are sourced from the Annual Population Survey (APS) and data for the other OECD members are taken from the OECD website. |
Baseline and Past Trends | To maintain our position on labour market participation as the top performing country in the UK : Baseline: The baseline for this element of the target will be Scotland's position compared to the other countries of the UK in the corresponding quarter of 2007. In 2007, Scotland had the highest working-age employment rate of the UK countries. Close the gap with the top 5 OECD economies by 2017: Baseline: The baseline for this element of the target will be Scotland's employment rate relative to our competitors in the OECD in 2006. In 2006, Scotland was ranked 9 th out of 31 countries. The top 5 countries in 2006 were Iceland, Switzerland, Denmark, Norway, and New Zealand. Scotland's employment rate (as the proportion of the population aged 15-64) in 2006 was 72.3%. New Zealand's rate was 74.9% - this results in a 2.6 percentage point gap. |
Methodology for Data Source | For comparisons within the UK, this indicator is calculated as the proportion of people aged 16 to 64 in employment. For international comparisons, this indicator is calculated as the proportion of people aged 15 to 64 in employment. The 95% confidence interval for the rolling 3 monthly estimates is approximately plus or minus 1.3 percentage points. The 95% confidence interval for the employment rate estimate from the APS is approximately plus or minus 0.5 percentage points. |
Data Ownership and Quality Assurance | The Labour Force Survey and the Annual Population Survey are National Statistics Publications. |
Publication of Data | Headline data from the Labour Force Survey are published each month on a rolling 3 month basis by the Office for National Statistics. http://www.statistics.gov.uk/StatBase/Product.asp?vlnk=1944 The Labour Market Statistics First Release Historical Supplement published by ONS contains trend data to measure employment rates by country - Table 18. http://www.statistics.gov.uk/OnlineProducts/LMS_FR_HS.asp For international comparisons the source used for the Scottish and UK data is the Annual Population Survey. Data from the Annual Population Survey ( APS) are published on a quarterly basis by the Office for National Statistics. A publication of headline figures from the APS is published in July each year by the Scottish Government covering the period January to December of the previous year. http://www.scotland.gov.uk/Topics/Statistics/Browse/Labour-Market/Publications Data are also published on the National Online Manpower Information System (NOMIS) website ( www.nomisweb.co.uk) Data for the other OECD members are published on the OECD website, http://stats.oecd.org/Index.aspx?DataSetCode=LFS_SEXAGE_I_R |
Methodology for Recent Change Arrow on Scotland | To maintain our position on labour market participation as the top performing country in the UK This evaluation is based on: any difference in the gap within +/- 1 percentage points of the equivalent quarter in the previous year suggests that the position is more likely to be maintaining than showing any change. A movement of 1 percentage point or more in Scotland's favour suggests that the position is improving, whereas a movement of 1 percentage point or more to Scotland's detriment suggests that the position is worsening. To close the gap with the top 5 OECD economies by 2017 This evaluation is based on: any difference in the gap within +/- 0.5 percentage points of the previous year suggests that the position is more likely to be maintaining than showing any change. A movement of 0.5 percentage point or more in Scotland's favour suggests that the position is improving, whereas a movement of 0.5 percentage point or more in favour of the fifth highest OECD country suggests that the position is worsening. |
Future issues or reviews | Prior to August 2010, the first part of the Participation Target (To maintain our position on labour market participation as the top performing country in the UK) was based on the traditional working-age population, defined as males aged 16-64 and females aged 16-59. In August 2010, the first part of the Participation Target was revised to be based on the definition for the new headline employment rate which covers the population aged 16 to 64 for both men and women. This new definition has been applied to the back series to ensure consistent comparisons. This change was implemented as the female state pension age is now gradually increasing from 60 to 65, over a ten year period from April 2010 to 2020. As a result, the headline employment rates as published by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) are now based on the population aged 16 to 64 for both men and women. The change to the definition was made in August 2010, as the April to June 2010 LFS dataset was released at this time, and the female state pension age started to change from April 2010. |