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Technical Note for Scotland Performs Indicators and Targets – National Indicator 36

This page relates to the 2007 version of the National Performance Framework. Information about the current version of the NPF is available on the Scotland Performs Home Page.

Scotland Performs National Indicator 36 - Reduce overall ecological footprint

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Title

Ecological footprint - a measure of the sustainability of consumption.

Associated Targets

Reduce overall ecological footprint

Brief Description

This indicator measures the impact of what we consume in Scotland on the world's environment and natural resources. Ecological footprint analyses show that since the mid 1980s humanity's global impact has outstripped the planet's capacity to sustain it and that Scotland - like other developed nations - has a higher per capita demand than there is global per capita capacity.

Specifically the ecological footprint estimates the land and sea area needed to provide all the water, transport, food, materials and energy (including embedded energy) we consume, wherever they come from. It also takes account of the emissions generated from the fossil fuels we burn and determines how much land is needed to absorb our waste. This estimates the 'carrying capacity' of the planet and compares it with human consumption.

Strategic Objective(s) to Which Indicator Relates

The indicator informs progress towards a Greener Scotland by measuring the sustainability of consumption. Reducing Scotland's ecological footprint will involve improving the efficiency of resource use as well as changing public behaviour.

Wealthier and Fairer - The indicator informs progress in achieving prosperity in ways which make better use of and reduce the negative impacts which we have on natural resources, which are vital for present and future generations. Using resources more productively will help our businesses become more competitive in a global economy facing the challenges of climate change and scarce resources.

More Detailed Definitions

Definitions of Keywords

The ecological footprint is defined as a measure of how much biologically productive land and water an individual, population or activity requires to produce all the resources it consumes and to absorb the waste it generates using prevailing technology and resource management practices. The ecological footprint is usually measured in global hectares. Because trade is global, an individual or country's footprint includes land or sea from all over in the world.

Evidence Source

Results for 2001, together with the accompanying data were published in a report by Best Foot Forward in 2004 ( http://www.scotlands-footprint.com/download.htm).

In 2009, the Scottish Government commissioned the Stockholm Environment Institute (SEI) to provide an ecological footprint analysis. The method used by SEI to compute the ecological footprint uses a vast variety of data including

UK input-output tables, and import statistics
http://www.statistics.gov.uk/about/methodology_by_theme/inputoutput/latestdata.asp

UK environmental accounts
http://www.statistics.gov.uk/STATBASE/Product.asp?vlnk=3698

Scottish energy consumption statistics
http://www.berr.gov.uk/energy/statistics/regional/index.html

Scottish travel statistics
http://www.dft.gov.uk/pgr/statistics/datatablespublications/regionaldata/rts

Scottish food and expenditure statistics
http://www.statistics.gov.uk/StatBase/Product.asp?vlnk=361

and Global Footprint Network accounts data for the UK, based on UK agricultural and fishery statistics and demand for these products
http://www.footprintnetwork.org/en/index.php/GFN/page/licenses/.

Baseline and Past Trends

The methodology for this indicator is under constant development and the originally published results for 2001 are not compatible with the new figures. The new methodology leads to a downward revision of Scotland's ecological footprint but the key result remains valid, namely that Scotland's consumption pattern exceeds the bio-capacity of the planet.

The estimates of the ecological footprint provided by SEI based on UK economic and environmental data and Scottish consumption data include a time series covering the period 1992-2006.

http://www.scotland.gov.uk/About/scotPerforms/indicators/ecologicalFootprint

A 2006 baseline will be used.

Methodology

There is no internationally agreed methodology for generating an ecological footprint. The method was created by Rees and Wackernagel in the early 1990s and the ecological footprint methodology has matured considerably over the past 20 years. Details of the methodology used by the Global Footprint Network for calculating the ecological footprint is described in

http://www.footprintnetwork.org/gfn_sub.php?content=datamethods

This is a common methodology that can be applied across many countries and is constrained by the availability of data for less developed economies. However the methodology cannot be used for regions of countries as it relies on the availability of internationally produced trade data

The methodology used by Best Foot Forward is described in their report ( http://www.scotlands-footprint.com/download.htm).

Full details of the methodology used by SEI and how it differs from the methodology used by Best Foot Forward are described in detail in the SEI report.


The method used by SEI is environmentally extended input-output analysis. Economic input-output tables describe the flow of goods and services between all the individual sectors of an economy over a stated period of time, commonly a year. The sectors of an economy range from agricultural and manufacturing industries (for example meat production and chemical production) to transport, recreational, health and financial services. This standard economic modelling framework is extended to incorporate environmental data which is what the term "environmentally extended" refers to. This part of the modelling assigns supply chain direct land use from the production and use of intermediate outputs by the different sectors of an economy to the point of final demand (final consumption). Framed in a product context, all direct and indirect land use associated with different final product groups within a given reporting period (year) can be assessed.

The main output of this modelling is the land use by product group data, the input-output framework has facilitated the re-allocation of land from the sectors that directly use land to the final products that are produced. Once the impacts per product are known this can be combined with information on how many products are consumed in order to generate a footprint. (This is simplified, describing only the domestic calculations, the full explanation of how imports are included is provided in the report noted above, Annex A paragraph A.31 onwards).

Consumption data is gathered from regionally specific expenditure data, derived from national economic accounts and regional expenditure surveys in fine detail (123 economic sectors and over 300 expenditure categories). This is used to calculate the total ecological footprint of Scottish consumption activities. EIO analysis is a comprehensive modelling framework that ensures that all indirect output effects (and with them the land-use impacts) are captured in their entirety. The approach described above does not require the use of secondary or 'one-off' conversion factors as the 'total impact multipliers' (land use per product groups) are intrinsically calculated by the input-output model, using the most up-to-date economic and environmental input data for each year of the time series.

Data Ownership and Quality Assurance

The underlying data used by SEI is mostly statistical data provided by government departments, but SEI also uses data owned by the Global Footprint Network for which it has a licence.

Not all the data sources required to generate the ecological footprint are National Statistics.

Methodology for Recent Change Arrow on Scotland Performs

This evaluation is based on: any difference in the percentage within +/- 5% of last year's figure suggests that the position is more likely to be maintaining than showing any change. A decrease of 5% or more suggests the position is improving; whereas an increase of 5% or more suggests the position is worsening. The threshold of 5% chosen is based on an assessment of the data available at this time, and may need to be reviewed as more information becomes available in the future.

Publication of Data

Results from the contract to provide a time series of a Scottish ecological footprint up to 2006 using a mixture of UK and Scottish data were published in October 2009.

Revised figures will be published in 2011. The revisions will take into account any further development of Scottish-specific data. An update of the existing series will be considered.

There is usually a substantial lag in providing estimates of the ecological footprint, of the order of three or more years.



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